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賽翁失馬焉知非福,還是越弄越糟?

布魯士申請史丹佛大學,今年史丹佛的錄取率只有5個百分比

他沒上史丹佛大學卻上了野魯大學,

各大學都有相同的情況, 錄取比都降低,

原因是甚麼,其中之一是

小孩以為今年錄取率低,所已只好廣發,申請表,

相對的學校收到更多申請表也就是錄取比率就更少,

工作效率更低,

Bruce Poch, a former admissions dean at Pomona College in Claremont, Calif., said he saw “the opposite of a virtuous cycle at work” in admissions. “Kids see that the admit rates are brutal and dropping, and it looks more like a crapshoot,” he said. “So they send more apps, which forces the colleges to lower their admit rates, which spurs the kids next year to send even more apps.”

For most of the past six decades, overall enrollment boomed, while the number of seats at elite colleges and universities grew much more slowly, making them steadily more selective. Enrollment peaked in 2011, and it has dropped a bit each year since then, prompting speculation that entry to competitive colleges would become marginally easier. Instead, counselors and admissions officers say, the pool of high-achieving applicants continues to grow, fed partly by a rising number from overseas.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/09/us/led-by-stanfords-5-top-colleges-acceptance-rates-hit-new-lows.html?hp&assetType=nyt_now

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